DETERRENCE THEORY THEORY or RS-28 SARMAT WITH LOVE
EVERY EXPERT: Putin just has nothing to gain from launching a war with Ukraine. He would never do it.
ME: I don’t know about that.
ALL THE SAME EXPERTS: Putin just has too much to lose were he to explode a hydrogen bomb. He wouldn't dare.
ME: I don’t know about that.
References:
Then:
Russia likely won’t invade Ukraine due to enormous costs: Brookings Institution senior fellow
Threatening to invade Ukraine will help Putin at home. Actually invading won't
Why Putin Won't Invade Ukraine
No, Russia will not invade Ukraine
Why Putin won't invade Ukraine
Why Russia Probably Won't Attack Ukraine
Why Russia isn't about to invade Ukraine soon
Why Russia won't invade Ukrainistan
Putin does not need to invade Ukraine to get his way
Now:
Nuclear attack unlikely despite Putin's warnings, US intelligence says
With nuclear option unlikely, Putin struggles to defend his red lines
'Russia doesn't want to use nuclear weapons': The view from wartime Moscow
Bowing to Putin's nuclear blackmail will make nuclear war more likely
Why Putin's Nuclear Gambit Is a Huge Mistake
Putin's nuke threat isn't worrying the US
Why do we think Putin won't use 'the bomb'?
Russia’s Updated Nuclear Doctrine Isn’t a Blueprint for Weapons Use. Its Primary Value Is Manipulation
Comentarios